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26
SEP
2017

Presentation at the Second Annual Technical Analysis Conference in Lagos

See Second Annual Technical Analysis Conference in Lagos It was a great pleasure to present at the Second Annual Technical Analysis Conference in Lagos, Nigeria. The conference brought together some of the established experts in the financial sector, who understand technical...
03
SEP
2017

Very sad news for technical analysis, Hank Purdon has passed away.

Very sadly for all of us, Dr. Henry O. “Hank” Pruden passed away on Saturday, August 26th at St. Francis Memorial Hospital surrounded by his family. Hank was a towering figure in the field of Technical Analysis for decades, publishing numerous research articles on the markets as...
09
JUL
2017

Why the misnamed ‘Traditional’ method of Point and Figure box sizing has no place in the 21st Century

Point and Figure “Guru” Jeremy du Plessis writes: When Point and Figure charts were used in the late 18th and first half of the 19th century, prices were low and so box sizes of ¼. ½ or 1 point were used. The charts were all plotted on an arithmetic scale. Each X and...
01
JUN
2017
Brain full of computers

Those involved in the current love affair with Quants should remember anomalies are bound to die

A new study* making waves in quantitative finance tested 447 anomalies identified by academics and found more than eight out of 10 vanish when rigorous tests are app lied. Among those failing to reach statistical significance: one anomaly recently set out by the godfathers of...
13
APR
2017

Bad Forecasting Damage

My friend and technical analyst colleague, Nicole Elliott has written a thought-provoking piece in the STA journal. You can read it HERE. I have long been a knocker of the value of economists and forecasters. It started my blog five years ago, What is the Point of Economists,...
12
APR
2017
RRG Research

All about Relative Rotation Graphs Weights

Mathew Verdouw, CMT, CFTE, has written a very good piece on weighting for the message of RRG graphs and RRG analysis steps. His software, Optima allows scripting of RRG. Optuma is the Market Technicians Association’s preferred software, is used in their manuals. MTA exam...
22
MAR
2017
Dollar Index DXY Daily

Dear Wilma: DXY

Dear Wilma, We are at odds again. I am getting ready to buy DXY. I do agree that we have a potential H&S pattern here. We are testing the psychologically and strong congestion support on DXY at 100. The count from the neckline break could be 96.00. The monthly MACD is also...
07
DEC
2016

Dispelling Myths Surrounding the Professional Practice of Technical Analysis

The Market Technicians Association and the CFA Institute have jointly published a literature review entitled Technical Analysis: Modern Perspectives.  Recent research has addressed the role of technical analysis in the broader context of financial markets and begins to trace the...
05
SEP
2016
eLearning with BETA Group

Q&A How Much Will it Cost Me to Becoming a Professionally Qualified Technical Analyst?

There are two aspects to this question. One cost is time and the other is money. Let us assume we are going the IFTA Certified Financial Technician route and are looking to have CFTe after our name.  Time: It takes years, decades, more than one lifetime to become a proficient...
15
AUG
2016

Because Analysts Cannot Understand the Market Does Not Mean it is Not a Market

Financial Times 15/8/16 - The bizarre nature of market signals has barely started. The words of Bachman Turner Overdrive spring to mind: ‘You ain’t seen nothin’ yet’. This is an Alice in Wonderland market where nothing is how it seems. Indeed we are falling foul...