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16
JAN
2016
Warren Buffett

2016 the Year Warren Buffett Revealed as the Emperor with No Clothes.

We, the investing public, like to think there are gurus who can lead us safely and surely to profits. We need them and create them. In Behavioural Finance there has been much study of crowds and their need for leaders. The crowd will sometimes justify their choice blindly and be...
11
JAN
2016

Statistical Test of Three Popular DeMark Technical Indicators

Late last year, Marco Lissandrin ETH Zurich, Donnacha Daly ETH Zurich and Didier Sornette Swiss Finance Institute; ETH Zürich – Department of Management, Technology, and Economics (D-MTEC) published a research piece of great importance to us fans of the work of Tom DeMark....
08
DEC
2015

Interview with risk guru, Ralph Vince

Here are some very insightful interviews with Ralph Vince of Optimal f fame. His book, Portfolio Management Formulas helped me a lot and has gone on to write other excellent stuff on portfolio risk measurement. Learn and enjoy.  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LLikimv90P8...
07
DEC
2015

Skyscraper Index is Triggered

  FBN Securities’ JC O’Hara put together a presentation titled “Skyscraper Index is Triggered,” which includes a 100-year-long chart showing this correlation* with the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Notable examples include the Sears Tower coinciding...
23
OCT
2015

Europe’s Electricity Production by Country and Fuel Type

The share of electricity generated by different energy sources has changed significantly in Europe over the last two decades. The major story here is the decline in consumption of fossil fuels. More specifically, the combined share of petroleum products and solid fuels (meaning...
12
OCT
2015
Economists forecasts

Economists Never Learn

Shouldn’t the role of economists be limited to explaining data and to stay away from forecasting? Forecasting is something they are terrible at. They seem to consistently crowd as a group at the wrong answer. Usually when people are consistently bad at something they stop...
28
SEP
2015

Courses now approved by CFA Insitute

We are pleased to announce our Introduction and Advanced Technical Analysis, Short Term Trading Techniques and Portfolio Construction Techniques courses operated by The Technical Analyst at CE Approved Activity. You will receive 12 hours credit for each of these two-day courses....
20
MAY
2015

Discretionary or Systematic – Which is Best?

In this blog I take a look at how CTAs using systematic and discretionary processes have fared over the short and longer duration, and what states have discovered the marked difference in their performance track records over time. After several years of lacklustre performance,...
20
APR
2015

Can of Coke spill bought down Bloomberg’s global terminal network?

    Bloomberg’s terminals, heavily relied upon by traders, went down for about two and half hours early Friday causing headaches – and delayed offerings. Rumours circulating around Bloomberg’s own newsroom apparently point to a very low-tech cause for the two and a half...
02
APR
2015

Warren Buffett’s Real Value to Investors? – His Experience

Warren Buffett’s new yearly letter to Berkshire Hathaway’s shareholders has not been given the attention it deserves. I wonder if this is because economic journalists feel like they simply can’t publish yet another story about how exactly wise Warren Buffett is. I feel this is...