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01
JUN
2016

What is Advanced Technical Analysis?

nearly 15 years now, I have run courses, mainly in technical analysis, at all levels teaching institutional traders, portfolio managers, analysts, corporate and bank treasuries, commodities, particularly energy, hedgers. Many many people from many asset classes and levels. Most...
26
MAY
2016
What next for the dollar?

Where’s next for the US dollar? But Wait…We Do Not Know

I saw and interesting piece of quant research by a very well respected investment bank which looks at the performance before and after a rate hike. It draws so conclusions and admits some mixed results in its analysis. The conclusion and headline is: “The Trade Weighted US...
24
MAY
2016
The Winton Beauty of Mathematics Garden

I am so excited: Fibonacci at the Chelsea Flower Show

Today, Tuesday is Members Day and I am off to the RHS Chelsea Flower Show. This year  I am really excited. Dvaid  Harding’s Winton Capital have sponsored The Winton Beauty of Mathematics Garden.  I expect to see lots of Fibonacci shapes in the design but nature itself will...
23
MAY
2016

Portfolio and Risk Management Software Test – PsyQuation

I have built a comprehensive and complex risk and portfolio monitoring programme. I did it for my own purposes and it is built out of my own experience and years. It has taken literally decades to develop. I wanted it to be just right for my purposes and the investment in time...
23
MAY
2016

Portfolio and Risk Management Software Test

I have built a comprehensive and complex risk and portfolio monitoring programme. I did it for my own purposes and it is built out of my own experience and years. It has taken literally decades to develop. I wanted it to be just right for my purposes and the investment in time...
05
MAY
2016
Houses of Parliament

ACI UK: Europe – Should We Stay Or Should We Go?

The ACI – Financial Markets Association organised a lively and topical debate on in or out for Europe. The proposers and seconders for each side were heavyweights. We had Brendan Bradley, a Member of the Eurex Executive Board and Chief Innovations Officer. Ruth Lea CBE is...
24
MAR
2016
Goldman Sachs

Goldman the Largest Bank by Commodities Revenue

Goldman Sachs retained its spot as the largest bank by commodities revenue in 2015. It was a bad year for most other investment firms. Goldman  made the most money from raw materials among the top 12 investment banks for a second consecutive year, says Coalition. Coalition, based...
23
MAR
2016
Source Bloomberg

Knife Catching for Professionals – Calling the Oil Price Low

The International Energy Agency (IEA) has announced the oil price may have made a bottom. The oil price is a graveyard of experts who have called the low. Catching a falling knife is clearly a very dangerous occupation.   The following bodies have been found so far: Andy...
29
FEB
2016
Warren Buffett

Berkshire Holdings Will Be All Right In The Long Run

In Berkshire Hathaway’s latest update published Saturday, Warren Buffett reiterated support for his massive holdings in IBM, Wells Fargo & Co. and Coca-Cola Co. He says, , they “possess excellent businesses and are run by managers who are both talented and...
29
FEB
2016
Currencies Race To The Bottom

Currency Wars, The Race to the Bottom – The Story So Far

The best remembered frenzy of competitive devaluations in history came during the Great Depression, as countries were in an unseemly hurry to abandon the gold standard. Until its collapse in 1971, the Bretton Woods system prevented a repeat of such tit-for-tat strategies by...