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16
OCT
2018

Will the ‘Race to Zero Fees” Asset Managers Cause the Next Crash?

In the United States last year, $470bn went into passive equity strategies * and a net $175bn flowed out of the country’s actively managed equity funds. Passive funds now account for close to half of the funds in the US and Asia, and a third of the total in Europe*. The...
01
JUN
2018
Got it wrong

Brutal ESMA Rules for Retail Brokers Come into Effect in August

  The European financial regulator, ESMA, announced that the measures against binary options and CFDs brokers will take effect in August. It had already been announced that Binary options will be prohibited from the 2nd of July. This is undeniably good news for the industry....
29
MAR
2018

Big Bad Moment in Retail Brokerage

On March 27th, European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) published its long-awaited verdict on the conduct of brokers in the industry. It fulfilled all the fears in the retail brokerage industry and will be fatal for some and force others to merge.  Sadly the excesses of a...
13
MAR
2018

Expectations Lead Reality – Technology Index Makes a New High at Last

We remember the heady days of the .com boom and bubble built on a vision of a future where the world would be driven by technology. The banks and shops on the high street would close. AI would rule. There would be automation everywhere in manufacturing. You would be able to hold...
06
MAR
2018

Cocoa: What a Big Bottom You Have

Over the last 12 months, Cocoa has been forming a very big bottom formation. Big bottoms can support big moves, particularly if there is little resistance to impede it. I see big things for this market  in the coming months – may be a 30% advance in price. Following ...
15
FEB
2018

Past Performance is not an Indicator of Future Success

The phrase “past performance is not an indicator of future success” can be found in the fine print all fund literature. Yet, due to either force of habit or conviction, investors and advisors consider past performance and related metrics to be important factors in fund selection....
01
FEB
2018
Trevor Neil on IG TV

Defensive Cover for a Rampant Stock Market

In this interview on IG.TV I cover strategies to give yourself cover yourself if the market turns but not leave the best bull market ever. These five strategies give you variously themed protection to a fall, particularly a sudden fall in the market, without giving up on the...
26
SEP
2017

Presentation at the Second Annual Technical Analysis Conference in Lagos

See Second Annual Technical Analysis Conference in Lagos It was a great pleasure to present at the Second Annual Technical Analysis Conference in Lagos, Nigeria. The conference brought together some of the established experts in the financial sector, who understand technical...
12
APR
2017
RRG Research

All about Relative Rotation Graphs Weights

Mathew Verdouw, CMT, CFTE, has written a very good piece on weighting for the message of RRG graphs and RRG analysis steps. His software, Optima allows scripting of RRG. Optuma is the Market Technicians Association’s preferred software, is used in their manuals. MTA exam...
15
AUG
2016

Because Analysts Cannot Understand the Market Does Not Mean it is Not a Market

Financial Times 15/8/16 - The bizarre nature of market signals has barely started. The words of Bachman Turner Overdrive spring to mind: ‘You ain’t seen nothin’ yet’. This is an Alice in Wonderland market where nothing is how it seems. Indeed we are falling foul...
12