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15
FEB
2018

Past Performance is not an Indicator of Future Success

The phrase “past performance is not an indicator of future success” can be found in the fine print all fund literature. Yet, due to either force of habit or conviction, investors and advisors consider past performance and related metrics to be important factors in fund selection....
01
FEB
2018
Trevor Neil on IG TV

Defensive Cover for a Rampant Stock Market

In this interview on IG.TV I cover strategies to give yourself cover yourself if the market turns but not leave the best bull market ever. These five strategies give you variously themed protection to a fall, particularly a sudden fall in the market, without giving up on the...
26
SEP
2017

Presentation at the Second Annual Technical Analysis Conference in Lagos

See Second Annual Technical Analysis Conference in Lagos It was a great pleasure to present at the Second Annual Technical Analysis Conference in Lagos, Nigeria. The conference brought together some of the established experts in the financial sector, who understand technical...
12
APR
2017
RRG Research

All about Relative Rotation Graphs Weights

Mathew Verdouw, CMT, CFTE, has written a very good piece on weighting for the message of RRG graphs and RRG analysis steps. His software, Optima allows scripting of RRG. Optuma is the Market Technicians Association’s preferred software, is used in their manuals. MTA exam...
15
AUG
2016

Because Analysts Cannot Understand the Market Does Not Mean it is Not a Market

Financial Times 15/8/16 - The bizarre nature of market signals has barely started. The words of Bachman Turner Overdrive spring to mind: ‘You ain’t seen nothin’ yet’. This is an Alice in Wonderland market where nothing is how it seems. Indeed we are falling foul...
14
JUN
2016
eLearning with BETA Group

The Complete Course in Technical Analysis

In 2015 Trevor Neil commenced his 24-part Comprehensive Course in Technical Analysis. This course, delivered in monthly one-hour session is hosted by Thomson Reuters. The one-hour sessions take place at 2pm Singapore time, 10.00am London time and noon New York time and each is...
12
JUN
2016
Black Swan

Why are There so Many Crashes?

Risk modelling, for example, Value-at-Risk, measures and quantifies the level of financial risk within a firm or investment portfolio over a specific time frame. We use Value at risk to measure and control the level of risk which our firms undertake. But consistently the answer...
01
JUN
2016

What is Advanced Technical Analysis?

nearly 15 years now, I have run courses, mainly in technical analysis, at all levels teaching institutional traders, portfolio managers, analysts, corporate and bank treasuries, commodities, particularly energy, hedgers. Many many people from many asset classes and levels. Most...
26
MAY
2016
What next for the dollar?

Where’s next for the US dollar? But Wait…We Do Not Know

I saw and interesting piece of quant research by a very well respected investment bank which looks at the performance before and after a rate hike. It draws so conclusions and admits some mixed results in its analysis. The conclusion and headline is: “The Trade Weighted US...
05
MAY
2016
Houses of Parliament

ACI UK: Europe – Should We Stay Or Should We Go?

The ACI – Financial Markets Association organised a lively and topical debate on in or out for Europe. The proposers and seconders for each side were heavyweights. We had Brendan Bradley, a Member of the Eurex Executive Board and Chief Innovations Officer. Ruth Lea CBE is...
12