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12
OCT
2015
Economists forecasts

Economists Never Learn

Shouldn’t the role of economists be limited to explaining data and to stay away from forecasting? Forecasting is something they are terrible at. They seem to consistently crowd as a group at the wrong answer. Usually when people are consistently bad at something they stop...
02
APR
2015

Warren Buffett’s Real Value to Investors? – His Experience

Warren Buffett’s new yearly letter to Berkshire Hathaway’s shareholders has not been given the attention it deserves. I wonder if this is because economic journalists feel like they simply can’t publish yet another story about how exactly wise Warren Buffett is. I feel this is...
24
APR
2014

Will 100% of Economists be Wrong?

This doesn’t happen very often.  Marketwatch reports that Jim Bianco points out in a recent market comment that the 67 economists taking part in a regular Bloomberg survey have a unanimous forecast regarding treasury bond yields: they will be higher 6 months from now. This...
03
MAR
2014
FX

Billion Dollar Day – a 1986 documentary about currency (forex) speculative trading – YouTube

Billion Dollar Day – a 1986 documentary about currency (forex) speculative trading – YouTube. Three ‘typical’ FX traders in action in a 1986 documentary when the trades and the phones were big. Any ‘seat of the pants’ prop traders like this...
25
SEP
2013

I may have been luckier than I thought

As some of you know I made a bit of money using the Squeeze Technique I showed in my latest Trevor Neil’s Friday Technical Analysis surgery getting on board long of Euro after the shock Fed announcement. Not only was I lucky to be preparing for the surgery at that moment,...
23
SEP
2013

Banks await news from Fed on their future in commodity trading

The Federal Reserve has yet to issue guidance on banks’ physical-commodity trading, despite a deadline Saturday. The deadline stems from an order last year when the Fed gave Goldman Sachs a year to exit the space to comply with commercial-banking regulations. The Senate...