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13
APR
2017

Bad Forecasting Damage

My friend and technical analyst colleague, Nicole Elliott has written a thought-provoking piece in the STA journal. You can read it HERE. I have long been a knocker of the value of economists and forecasters. It started my blog five years ago, What is the Point of Economists,...
22
MAR
2017
Dollar Index DXY Daily

Dear Wilma: DXY

Dear Wilma, We are at odds again. I am getting ready to buy DXY. I do agree that we have a potential H&S pattern here. We are testing the psychologically and strong congestion support on DXY at 100. The count from the neckline break could be 96.00. The monthly MACD is also...
15
AUG
2016

Because Analysts Cannot Understand the Market Does Not Mean it is Not a Market

Financial Times 15/8/16 - The bizarre nature of market signals has barely started. The words of Bachman Turner Overdrive spring to mind: ‘You ain’t seen nothin’ yet’. This is an Alice in Wonderland market where nothing is how it seems. Indeed we are falling foul...
30
JUN
2016

The UK Equity Market has recovered …. or has it?

(Alex Spiroglou www.tradertd.com/TDS) makes a very interesting point Most of the people are following the FTSE-100 as a bellwether for what the UK equity market is doing. It has staged an impressive comeback rally thus far. Great …Should we pop the bubbly ? The FTSE-100 is...
15
JUN
2016
Prague Prop Traders

I’m a Good Trader But How Do I Get Into Fund Management?

After 40 years in the business, I often get asked by traders how to get into fund management. They sometimes work for firms and are making big bucks for their firm and feel it would be so much better if a share of their trading profits went directly into their pockets. The amount...
14
JUN
2016
eLearning with BETA Group

The Complete Course in Technical Analysis

In 2015 Trevor Neil commenced his 24-part Comprehensive Course in Technical Analysis. This course, delivered in monthly one-hour session is hosted by Thomson Reuters. The one-hour sessions take place at 2pm Singapore time, 10.00am London time and noon New York time and each is...
12
JUN
2016
Black Swan

Why are There so Many Crashes?

Risk modelling, for example, Value-at-Risk, measures and quantifies the level of financial risk within a firm or investment portfolio over a specific time frame. We use Value at risk to measure and control the level of risk which our firms undertake. But consistently the answer...
03
JUN
2016
Terminal Down

Funny Video About Stop Placement

Not funny really. It is too true to be funny but please enjoy. Click Hold  Thanks to NathanTucci
26
MAY
2016
What next for the dollar?

Where’s next for the US dollar? But Wait…We Do Not Know

I saw and interesting piece of quant research by a very well respected investment bank which looks at the performance before and after a rate hike. It draws so conclusions and admits some mixed results in its analysis. The conclusion and headline is: “The Trade Weighted US...
23
MAY
2016

Portfolio and Risk Management Software Test

I have built a comprehensive and complex risk and portfolio monitoring programme. I did it for my own purposes and it is built out of my own experience and years. It has taken literally decades to develop. I wanted it to be just right for my purposes and the investment in time...