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We, the investing public, like to think there are gurus who can lead us safely and surely to profits. We need them and create them. In Behavioural Finance there has been much study of crowds and their need for leaders. The crowd will sometimes justify their choice blindly and be...

Late last year, Marco Lissandrin ETH Zurich, Donnacha Daly ETH Zurich and Didier Sornette Swiss Finance Institute; ETH Zürich – Department of Management, Technology, and Economics (D-MTEC) published a research piece of great importance to us fans of the work of Tom DeMark....

Here are some very insightful interviews with Ralph Vince of Optimal f fame. His book, Portfolio Management Formulas helped me a lot and has gone on to write other excellent stuff on portfolio risk measurement. Learn and enjoy.  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LLikimv90P8...

  FBN Securities’ JC O’Hara put together a presentation titled “Skyscraper Index is Triggered,” which includes a 100-year-long chart showing this correlation* with the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Notable examples include the Sears Tower coinciding...

There is no collective noun for a group of technical analysts. Let us decide what to call ourselves before anyone else decides something unflattering like: A Confusion of Technical Analysts. Our language has some wonderful collective nouns for the various groups of animals. We...

The share of electricity generated by different energy sources has changed significantly in Europe over the last two decades. The major story here is the decline in consumption of fossil fuels. More specifically, the combined share of petroleum products and solid fuels (meaning...

Shouldn’t the role of economists be limited to explaining data and to stay away from forecasting? Forecasting is something they are terrible at. They seem to consistently crowd as a group at the wrong answer. Usually when people are consistently bad at something they stop...

We are pleased to announce our Introduction and Advanced Technical Analysis, Short Term Trading Techniques and Portfolio Construction Techniques courses operated by The Technical Analyst at CE Approved Activity. You will receive 12 hours credit for each of these two-day courses....

In this blog I take a look at how CTAs using systematic and discretionary processes have fared over the short and longer duration, and what states have discovered the marked difference in their performance track records over time. After several years of lacklustre performance,...

The buy-side is notoriously bad at reflecting critically on its own processes and performance. I find them to be very susceptible to biases such as over confidence. Last night at an MTA UK talk at Cass Business School Clare Levy, the Founder and CEO of the software house...