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The best remembered frenzy of competitive devaluations in history came during the Great Depression, as countries were in an unseemly hurry to abandon the gold standard. Until its collapse in 1971, the Bretton Woods system prevented a repeat of such tit-for-tat strategies by...

For many investors, the most commonly used method of stock valuation is the Price to Earnings multiple or the PE ratio. The current market price divided by the latest earnings per share of the company in question gives us the PE multiple for the stock. From a historical...

Recently I have had the delightful task of presenting my short talk on behavioural finance to professionals up and down the country. The talk has the catchy title: Bulls, Bears – We Are All Sheep. It is a lunchtime, one hour presentation which I have been giving recently to...

In a Bloomberg TV Interview last week Tom DeMark calls for a market bottom in the next 2-3 market days.  He is not a man to mince his market calls. He does not get it right every time but some of his calls have been simply spectacular.  I’ve known Tom for many years and can...

Confirmation Bias, is the tendency to search for, interpret, favor, and recall information in a way that confirms one’s beliefs or hypotheses, while giving disproportionately less consideration to alternative possibilities. I have seen this in research pieces put out by...

FX trading in the U.K. and North America shrank by more than 20 percent in October from a year earlier, according to central banks in those regions. London is the biggest centre for foreign-exchange trading. The investment banking business has shed tens of thousands of positions...

Just over a month into the year and there have been more cuts for year end targets by strategists and analysts this early in the year than ever before. Strategists and analysts are famous for their herding – but not right now. The gap between the highest and lowest...

Believe your eyes. The bleedin’ obvious is very often correct. If you want to appear all intellectual, say you turned bearish because of Occam’s Razor. The trend is your friend – until the end. I teach this in both my Introduction and Advanced Technical Analysis...

We, the investing public, like to think there are gurus who can lead us safely and surely to profits. We need them and create them. In Behavioural Finance there has been much study of crowds and their need for leaders. The crowd will sometimes justify their choice blindly and be...

Late last year, Marco Lissandrin ETH Zurich, Donnacha Daly ETH Zurich and Didier Sornette Swiss Finance Institute; ETH Zürich – Department of Management, Technology, and Economics (D-MTEC) published a research piece of great importance to us fans of the work of Tom DeMark....