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21
NOV
2017

Old Mutual Admits Economists Cannot Make Forecasts

Watch this video where Ian Heslop, Wealth Manager and Economist at Old Mutual admits that analysing the fundamentals is impossible and pointless. All his colleagues get it wrong. The explains that Old Mutual will, therefore, no longer do it.  He points out other experts IBM CEO...
15
AUG
2017

Why Does the Mathematical Probability So Often Turn Out NOT To Be the Real Life Probability?

I am preparing a presentation for traders on trading options. They work in a large international energy corporate. These are traders working in treasury but not option specialists. This, you would expect, would be an intermediate-level course on options and options maths. I have...
30
JUL
2017
Accredited by LSE Group Academy

Institutional Trader Programme

Last year, the London Stock Exchange Group Academy approached me to develop a two-week course designed for people who want to experience the institutional world of investment and to start their first leg of their career in the City. We put together the Institutional Trader...
09
JUL
2017

Why the misnamed ‘Traditional’ method of Point and Figure box sizing has no place in the 21st Century

Point and Figure “Guru” Jeremy du Plessis writes: When Point and Figure charts were used in the late 18th and first half of the 19th century, prices were low and so box sizes of ¼. ½ or 1 point were used. The charts were all plotted on an arithmetic scale. Each X and...
13
APR
2017

Bad Forecasting Damage

My friend and technical analyst colleague, Nicole Elliott has written a thought-provoking piece in the STA journal. You can read it HERE. I have long been a knocker of the value of economists and forecasters. It started my blog five years ago, What is the Point of Economists,...
22
MAR
2017
Dollar Index DXY Daily

Dear Wilma: DXY

Dear Wilma, We are at odds again. I am getting ready to buy DXY. I do agree that we have a potential H&S pattern here. We are testing the psychologically and strong congestion support on DXY at 100. The count from the neckline break could be 96.00. The monthly MACD is also...
07
OCT
2016

Arnold Palmer’s Legacy

Arnold Palmer passed away on September a the age of 87. He broadened golf’s appeal, taking it from an elite minority sport to a truly popular global sport. He embraced the new media of TV and all the marketing opportunities that flowed from it: clubs, clothes...
05
SEP
2016
eLearning with BETA Group

Q&A How Much Will it Cost Me to Becoming a Professionally Qualified Technical Analyst?

There are two aspects to this question. One cost is time and the other is money. Let us assume we are going the IFTA Certified Financial Technician route and are looking to have CFTe after our name.  Time: It takes years, decades, more than one lifetime to become a proficient...
15
AUG
2016

Because Analysts Cannot Understand the Market Does Not Mean it is Not a Market

Financial Times 15/8/16 - The bizarre nature of market signals has barely started. The words of Bachman Turner Overdrive spring to mind: ‘You ain’t seen nothin’ yet’. This is an Alice in Wonderland market where nothing is how it seems. Indeed we are falling foul...
14
AUG
2016
Warren Buffett

Berkshire Hathaway Style Drift Taking Its Toll

I use the market’s love affair with Warren Buffett to illustration our need for someone like that to exist in my Behavioural Finance talks. Our fawning is so extreme that it is almost heresy to question the ‘data’. But the data, plain before our eyes, does not...