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A new study* making waves in quantitative finance tested 447 anomalies identified by academics and found more than eight out of 10 vanish when rigorous tests are app lied. Among those failing to reach statistical significance: one anomaly recently set out by the godfathers of...

The Market Technicians Association and the CFA Institute have jointly published a literature review entitled Technical Analysis: Modern Perspectives.  Recent research has addressed the role of technical analysis in the broader context of financial markets and begins to trace the...

Arnold Palmer passed away on September a the age of 87. He broadened golf’s appeal, taking it from an elite minority sport to a truly popular global sport. He embraced the new media of TV and all the marketing opportunities that flowed from it: clubs, clothes...

Financial Times 15/8/16 - The bizarre nature of market signals has barely started. The words of Bachman Turner Overdrive spring to mind: ‘You ain’t seen nothin’ yet’. This is an Alice in Wonderland market where nothing is how it seems. Indeed we are falling foul...

Risk modelling, for example, Value-at-Risk, measures and quantifies the level of financial risk within a firm or investment portfolio over a specific time frame. We use Value at risk to measure and control the level of risk which our firms undertake. But consistently the answer...

Not funny really. It is too true to be funny but please enjoy. Click Hold  Thanks to NathanTucci

I saw and interesting piece of quant research by a very well respected investment bank which looks at the performance before and after a rate hike. It draws so conclusions and admits some mixed results in its analysis. The conclusion and headline is: “The Trade Weighted US...

I have known it for a long time, staring at the screens makes me see movements which are not actually there. Like the optical illusion of the two arrows, the illusion is always present even though I know the lines are the same. Try as I might, I cannot get my brain to correct its...

I was really pleased to have an audience of 117 for my: Bulls, Bears, We Are All Sheep presentation at the CISI.org chapter in Guernsey. It was the subject, Behavioural Finance that pulled them in of course. But I was flattered. They even arranged a lovely sunny day. This is the...

The International Energy Agency (IEA) has announced the oil price may have made a bottom. The oil price is a graveyard of experts who have called the low. Catching a falling knife is clearly a very dangerous occupation.   The following bodies have been found so far: Andy...