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The phrase “past performance is not an indicator of future success” can be found in the fine print all fund literature. Yet, due to either force of habit or conviction, investors and advisors consider past performance and related metrics to be important factors in fund selection....

Watch this video where Ian Heslop, Wealth Manager and Economist at Old Mutual admits that analysing the fundamentals is impossible and pointless. All his colleagues get it wrong. The explains that Old Mutual will, therefore, no longer do it.  He points out other experts IBM CEO...

I am preparing a presentation for traders on trading options. They work in a large international energy corporate. These are traders working in treasury but not option specialists. This, you would expect, would be an intermediate-level course on options and options maths. I have...

A new study* making waves in quantitative finance tested 447 anomalies identified by academics and found more than eight out of 10 vanish when rigorous tests are app lied. Among those failing to reach statistical significance: one anomaly recently set out by the godfathers of...

The Market Technicians Association and the CFA Institute have jointly published a literature review entitled Technical Analysis: Modern Perspectives.  Recent research has addressed the role of technical analysis in the broader context of financial markets and begins to trace the...

Arnold Palmer passed away on September a the age of 87. He broadened golf’s appeal, taking it from an elite minority sport to a truly popular global sport. He embraced the new media of TV and all the marketing opportunities that flowed from it: clubs, clothes...

Financial Times 15/8/16 - The bizarre nature of market signals has barely started. The words of Bachman Turner Overdrive spring to mind: ‘You ain’t seen nothin’ yet’. This is an Alice in Wonderland market where nothing is how it seems. Indeed we are falling foul...

Risk modelling, for example, Value-at-Risk, measures and quantifies the level of financial risk within a firm or investment portfolio over a specific time frame. We use Value at risk to measure and control the level of risk which our firms undertake. But consistently the answer...

Not funny really. It is too true to be funny but please enjoy. Click Hold  Thanks to NathanTucci

I saw and interesting piece of quant research by a very well respected investment bank which looks at the performance before and after a rate hike. It draws so conclusions and admits some mixed results in its analysis. The conclusion and headline is: “The Trade Weighted US...